Television has evolved so quickly that watching shows from less than a decade ago can feel dated. Partly because they’re integrating old school runners and buttons into a newer formatting, so you can see the mechanics that much clearly. I watched some episodes from The Shield this week, and it’s still a great show, but you can see the “B story that reflects on the A story” etc. etc. I also watched some Community, which makes its hay with meta on structure. Fascinating.
I write about these guys once a year, cause they put out a movie a year, so I’ve said things about these guys for a while now. I agree with Mr. Faraci about my disappointment regarding their turn to sequel-izing, though even the stingiest of critics, like Mike D’Angelo said of the film on twitter “Unnecessary rehash of 1st 2, but still a lot of fun, esp. as mock prison flick. Schmaltz overload at end.” and gave it a 68 (which for him is a B, or 3 and a half stars). Few people hate Pixar, and those that do probably work at Dreamworks.
This is the first time they could break out of their ceiling, though. They can be counted on to do over $200 domestic, while when they’re good they can get close to $300 Million, and Finding Nemo hit $339 Million domestic. This could do $400, and is the first film they could open to over $100 Million, which all but guarantees $300 (X-Men 3 opened over a hundred and did $234). I would guess it could do half a billion. They’ve also got until July 9 until direct competition. Big time.
Jonah Hex is going to do terribly, but they’ve got a weekend to fool people, and a short enough run time to have a ton of shows. Will people sold out of Toy Story 3 go to it? Probably not, The Karate Kid would be the alternative.
HALF OF WHAT I PREDICT IS MEANINGLESS
So there you go.
1. Toy Story 3 - $115 Million
2. The Karate Kid - $36.7 Million
3. The A-Team – $14 Million
4. Jonah Hex – $12.1 Million
5. Shrek Forever After - $7.8 Million
Sunday is my funday.